Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction: 1–0

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Sweden

Graham Potter · FIFA #42 · 74 rating

Best · Runners-up

Group Stage

AI prediction 1 – 0

—

Estadio BBVA · Monterrey · 50k

2026-06-14

Tunisia

Sabri Lamouchi · FIFA #44 · 74 rating

Best · Group stage

Projected XIs 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1

SwedenTunisia

Sweden 1–0 Tunisia

Expected goals 1.3 – 0.8 · projected scoreline

Sweden's attack (rated 81) narrowly outguns Tunisia's defence (75), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0.

48%

29%

23%

Sweden win Draw Tunisia win

Sweden favoured · even matchup. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.