AI predictions · who wins it all
World Cup 2026 predictions
An AI model predicts every group game, simulates the whole bracket, and crowns a champion — each call backed by a plain-English reason.
72Predictions
48→1Simulated
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Below is an AI score prediction for every group-stage match, the projected group tables (points), and win/draw/loss probabilities — all from a model that scores each team’s attack against the other’s defence using squad ratings, 2025/26 club goals & assists and goalkeeping form. Tap any match for the full head-to-head. See the full knockout bracket →
A Group A predictions
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1 
Mexico 3+27
Mexico 3+27 2 
Czechia 3+15
Czechia 3+15 3 
South Korea 304
South Korea 304 4 
South Africa 3-30
South Africa 3-30 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 11 Mexico 1–0 South Africa 58/24/18% Mexico's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Africa's defence (75), so the model makes them 58% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 12 South Korea 1–1 Czechia 34/24/42% Czechia's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Korea's defence (75), so the model makes them 42% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 18 Czechia 1–0 South Africa 57/24/20% Czechia's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Africa's defence (75), so the model makes them 57% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 19 Mexico 2–1 South Korea 44/24/32% Mexico's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Korea's defence (75), so the model makes them 44% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 25 Czechia 1–1 Mexico 36/24/40% Mexico's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over Czechia's defence (76), so the model makes them 40% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 25 South Africa 0–1 South Korea 22/25/53% South Korea's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over South Africa's defence (75), so the model makes them 53% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1.
Mexico 1–0 South Africa 58/24/18% Mexico's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Africa's defence (75), so the model makes them 58% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 12 South Korea 1–1 Czechia 34/24/42% Czechia's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Korea's defence (75), so the model makes them 42% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 18 Czechia 1–0 South Africa 57/24/20% Czechia's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Africa's defence (75), so the model makes them 57% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 19 Mexico 2–1 South Korea 44/24/32% Mexico's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Korea's defence (75), so the model makes them 44% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 25 Czechia 1–1 Mexico 36/24/40% Mexico's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over Czechia's defence (76), so the model makes them 40% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 25 South Africa 0–1 South Korea 22/25/53% South Korea's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over South Africa's defence (75), so the model makes them 53% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. B Group B predictions
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1 
Switzerland 3+39
Switzerland 3+39 2 
Canada 3+16
Canada 3+16 3 
Qatar 3-21
Qatar 3-21 4 
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3-21
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3-21 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 12 Canada 2–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina 49/23/28% Canada's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Bosnia and Herzegovina's defence (71), so the model makes them 49% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 13 Qatar 0–1 Switzerland 20/24/56% Switzerland's attack (rated 81) has a clear edge over Qatar's defence (72), so the model makes them 56% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 18 Switzerland 1–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina 57/23/19% Switzerland's attack (rated 81) has a clear edge over Bosnia and Herzegovina's defence (71), so the model makes them 57% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 19 Canada 2–1 Qatar 48/24/28% Canada's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Qatar's defence (72), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 24 Switzerland 1–0 Canada 46/27/27% Switzerland's attack (rated 81) narrowly outguns Canada's defence (74), so the model makes them 46% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 24 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–1 Qatar 38/24/39% Qatar's attack (rated 79) narrowly outguns Bosnia and Herzegovina's defence (71), so the model makes them 39% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1.
Canada 2–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina 49/23/28% Canada's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Bosnia and Herzegovina's defence (71), so the model makes them 49% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 13 Qatar 0–1 Switzerland 20/24/56% Switzerland's attack (rated 81) has a clear edge over Qatar's defence (72), so the model makes them 56% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 18 Switzerland 1–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina 57/23/19% Switzerland's attack (rated 81) has a clear edge over Bosnia and Herzegovina's defence (71), so the model makes them 57% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 19 Canada 2–1 Qatar 48/24/28% Canada's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Qatar's defence (72), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 24 Switzerland 1–0 Canada 46/27/27% Switzerland's attack (rated 81) narrowly outguns Canada's defence (74), so the model makes them 46% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 24 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–1 Qatar 38/24/39% Qatar's attack (rated 79) narrowly outguns Bosnia and Herzegovina's defence (71), so the model makes them 39% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. C Group C predictions
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1 
Brazil 3+59
Brazil 3+59 2 
Morocco 3+16
Morocco 3+16 3 
Scotland 3-23
Scotland 3-23 4 
Haiti 3-40
Haiti 3-40 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 13 Brazil 1–0 Morocco 52/25/24% Brazil's attack (rated 94) has a clear edge over Morocco's defence (81), so the model makes them 52% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 14 Haiti 0–1 Scotland 15/24/61% Scotland's attack (rated 84) has a clear edge over Haiti's defence (74), so the model makes them 61% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 19 Scotland 0–1 Morocco 23/23/54% Morocco's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over Scotland's defence (74), so the model makes them 54% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 20 Brazil 2–0 Haiti 84/12/4% Brazil's attack (rated 94) has a clear edge over Haiti's defence (74), so the model makes them 84% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 24 Scotland 0–2 Brazil 12/17/71% Brazil's attack (rated 94) has a clear edge over Scotland's defence (74), so the model makes them 71% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2. Jun 24 Morocco 1–0 Haiti 71/20/8% Morocco's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over Haiti's defence (74), so the model makes them 71% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0.
Brazil 1–0 Morocco 52/25/24% Brazil's attack (rated 94) has a clear edge over Morocco's defence (81), so the model makes them 52% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 14 Haiti 0–1 Scotland 15/24/61% Scotland's attack (rated 84) has a clear edge over Haiti's defence (74), so the model makes them 61% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 19 Scotland 0–1 Morocco 23/23/54% Morocco's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over Scotland's defence (74), so the model makes them 54% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 20 Brazil 2–0 Haiti 84/12/4% Brazil's attack (rated 94) has a clear edge over Haiti's defence (74), so the model makes them 84% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 24 Scotland 0–2 Brazil 12/17/71% Brazil's attack (rated 94) has a clear edge over Scotland's defence (74), so the model makes them 71% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2. Jun 24 Morocco 1–0 Haiti 71/20/8% Morocco's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over Haiti's defence (74), so the model makes them 71% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. D Group D predictions
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1 
USA 3+37
USA 3+37 2 
Türkiye 3+27
Türkiye 3+27 3 
Australia 3-13
Australia 3-13 4 
Paraguay 3-40
Paraguay 3-40 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 13 USA 2–0 Paraguay 67/19/13% USA's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Paraguay's defence (73), so the model makes them 67% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 14 Australia 0–1 Türkiye 20/26/54% Türkiye's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Australia's defence (76), so the model makes them 54% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 19 USA 1–0 Australia 61/23/17% USA's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Australia's defence (76), so the model makes them 61% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 20 Türkiye 1–0 Paraguay 61/22/17% Türkiye's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Paraguay's defence (73), so the model makes them 61% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 26 Türkiye 1–1 USA 33/24/44% USA's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Türkiye's defence (77), so the model makes them 44% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 26 Paraguay 0–1 Australia 30/31/38% Australia's attack (rated 75) narrowly outguns Paraguay's defence (73), so the model makes them 38% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1.
USA 2–0 Paraguay 67/19/13% USA's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Paraguay's defence (73), so the model makes them 67% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 14 Australia 0–1 Türkiye 20/26/54% Türkiye's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Australia's defence (76), so the model makes them 54% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 19 USA 1–0 Australia 61/23/17% USA's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Australia's defence (76), so the model makes them 61% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 20 Türkiye 1–0 Paraguay 61/22/17% Türkiye's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Paraguay's defence (73), so the model makes them 61% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 26 Türkiye 1–1 USA 33/24/44% USA's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Türkiye's defence (77), so the model makes them 44% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 26 Paraguay 0–1 Australia 30/31/38% Australia's attack (rated 75) narrowly outguns Paraguay's defence (73), so the model makes them 38% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. E Group E predictions
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1 
Germany 3+79
Germany 3+79 2 
Ecuador 3-14
Ecuador 3-14 3 
Côte d'Ivoire 3-14
Côte d'Ivoire 3-14 4 
Curaçao 3-50
Curaçao 3-50 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 14 Germany 3–0 Curaçao 87/9/3% Germany's attack (rated 93) is in a different class to Curaçao's defence (70), so the model makes them 87% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 14 Côte d'Ivoire 1–1 Ecuador 35/25/40% Ecuador's attack (rated 80) narrowly outguns Côte d'Ivoire's defence (73), so the model makes them 40% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 20 Germany 2–0 Côte d'Ivoire 73/16/11% Germany's attack (rated 93) has a clear edge over Côte d'Ivoire's defence (73), so the model makes them 73% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 21 Ecuador 1–0 Curaçao 62/22/16% Ecuador's attack (rated 80) has a clear edge over Curaçao's defence (70), so the model makes them 62% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 25 Curaçao 0–1 Côte d'Ivoire 17/21/62% Côte d'Ivoire's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Curaçao's defence (70), so the model makes them 62% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 25 Ecuador 0–2 Germany 13/18/68% Germany's attack (rated 93) has a clear edge over Ecuador's defence (75), so the model makes them 68% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2.
Germany 3–0 Curaçao 87/9/3% Germany's attack (rated 93) is in a different class to Curaçao's defence (70), so the model makes them 87% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 14 Côte d'Ivoire 1–1 Ecuador 35/25/40% Ecuador's attack (rated 80) narrowly outguns Côte d'Ivoire's defence (73), so the model makes them 40% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 20 Germany 2–0 Côte d'Ivoire 73/16/11% Germany's attack (rated 93) has a clear edge over Côte d'Ivoire's defence (73), so the model makes them 73% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 21 Ecuador 1–0 Curaçao 62/22/16% Ecuador's attack (rated 80) has a clear edge over Curaçao's defence (70), so the model makes them 62% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 25 Curaçao 0–1 Côte d'Ivoire 17/21/62% Côte d'Ivoire's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Curaçao's defence (70), so the model makes them 62% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 25 Ecuador 0–2 Germany 13/18/68% Germany's attack (rated 93) has a clear edge over Ecuador's defence (75), so the model makes them 68% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2. F Group F predictions
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1 
Netherlands 3+39
Netherlands 3+39 2 
Japan 304
Japan 304 3 
Sweden 304
Sweden 304 4 
Tunisia 3-30
Tunisia 3-30 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 14 Netherlands 1–0 Japan 49/26/25% Netherlands's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Japan's defence (76), so the model makes them 49% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 15 Sweden 1–0 Tunisia 48/29/23% Sweden's attack (rated 81) narrowly outguns Tunisia's defence (75), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 20 Netherlands 1–0 Sweden 53/26/21% Netherlands's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Sweden's defence (76), so the model makes them 53% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 21 Tunisia 0–1 Japan 20/26/53% Japan's attack (rated 83) narrowly outguns Tunisia's defence (75), so the model makes them 53% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 26 Japan 1–1 Sweden 41/26/32% Japan's attack (rated 83) narrowly outguns Sweden's defence (76), so the model makes them 41% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 26 Tunisia 0–1 Netherlands 13/24/63% Netherlands's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Tunisia's defence (75), so the model makes them 63% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1.
Netherlands 1–0 Japan 49/26/25% Netherlands's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Japan's defence (76), so the model makes them 49% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 15 Sweden 1–0 Tunisia 48/29/23% Sweden's attack (rated 81) narrowly outguns Tunisia's defence (75), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 20 Netherlands 1–0 Sweden 53/26/21% Netherlands's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Sweden's defence (76), so the model makes them 53% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 21 Tunisia 0–1 Japan 20/26/53% Japan's attack (rated 83) narrowly outguns Tunisia's defence (75), so the model makes them 53% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 26 Japan 1–1 Sweden 41/26/32% Japan's attack (rated 83) narrowly outguns Sweden's defence (76), so the model makes them 41% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 26 Tunisia 0–1 Netherlands 13/24/63% Netherlands's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Tunisia's defence (75), so the model makes them 63% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. G Group G predictions
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1 
Belgium 3+49
Belgium 3+49 2 
IR Iran 3+16
IR Iran 3+16 3 
New Zealand 3-21
New Zealand 3-21 4 
Egypt 3-31
Egypt 3-31 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 15 Belgium 2–0 Egypt 63/20/16% Belgium's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Egypt's defence (71), so the model makes them 63% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 16 IR Iran 1–0 New Zealand 46/26/28% IR Iran's attack (rated 82) narrowly outguns New Zealand's defence (74), so the model makes them 46% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 21 Belgium 1–0 IR Iran 50/27/23% Belgium's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over IR Iran's defence (76), so the model makes them 50% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 22 New Zealand 1–1 Egypt 37/24/39% Egypt's attack (rated 83) has a clear edge over New Zealand's defence (74), so the model makes them 39% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 27 Egypt 1–2 IR Iran 29/23/48% IR Iran's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Egypt's defence (71), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 27 New Zealand 0–1 Belgium 16/24/60% Belgium's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over New Zealand's defence (74), so the model makes them 60% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1.
Belgium 2–0 Egypt 63/20/16% Belgium's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Egypt's defence (71), so the model makes them 63% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 16 IR Iran 1–0 New Zealand 46/26/28% IR Iran's attack (rated 82) narrowly outguns New Zealand's defence (74), so the model makes them 46% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 21 Belgium 1–0 IR Iran 50/27/23% Belgium's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over IR Iran's defence (76), so the model makes them 50% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0. Jun 22 New Zealand 1–1 Egypt 37/24/39% Egypt's attack (rated 83) has a clear edge over New Zealand's defence (74), so the model makes them 39% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 27 Egypt 1–2 IR Iran 29/23/48% IR Iran's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Egypt's defence (71), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 27 New Zealand 0–1 Belgium 16/24/60% Belgium's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over New Zealand's defence (74), so the model makes them 60% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. H Group H predictions
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1 
Spain 3+59
Spain 3+59 2 
Uruguay 3+16
Uruguay 3+16 3 
Saudi Arabia 3-31
Saudi Arabia 3-31 4 
Cabo Verde 3-31
Cabo Verde 3-31 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 15 Spain 2–0 Cabo Verde 80/14/6% Spain's attack (rated 96) has a clear edge over Cabo Verde's defence (75), so the model makes them 80% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 15 Saudi Arabia 1–2 Uruguay 25/21/54% Uruguay's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Saudi Arabia's defence (74), so the model makes them 54% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 21 Spain 2–0 Saudi Arabia 80/13/7% Spain's attack (rated 96) has a clear edge over Saudi Arabia's defence (74), so the model makes them 80% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 21 Uruguay 2–1 Cabo Verde 56/22/22% Uruguay's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Cabo Verde's defence (75), so the model makes them 56% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 27 Cabo Verde 1–1 Saudi Arabia 33/28/39% Saudi Arabia's attack (rated 79) narrowly outguns Cabo Verde's defence (75), so the model makes them 39% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 27 Uruguay 1–2 Spain 12/15/73% Spain's attack (rated 96) has a clear edge over Uruguay's defence (74), so the model makes them 73% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2.
Spain 2–0 Cabo Verde 80/14/6% Spain's attack (rated 96) has a clear edge over Cabo Verde's defence (75), so the model makes them 80% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 15 Saudi Arabia 1–2 Uruguay 25/21/54% Uruguay's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Saudi Arabia's defence (74), so the model makes them 54% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 21 Spain 2–0 Saudi Arabia 80/13/7% Spain's attack (rated 96) has a clear edge over Saudi Arabia's defence (74), so the model makes them 80% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 21 Uruguay 2–1 Cabo Verde 56/22/22% Uruguay's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Cabo Verde's defence (75), so the model makes them 56% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 27 Cabo Verde 1–1 Saudi Arabia 33/28/39% Saudi Arabia's attack (rated 79) narrowly outguns Cabo Verde's defence (75), so the model makes them 39% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1. Jun 27 Uruguay 1–2 Spain 12/15/73% Spain's attack (rated 96) has a clear edge over Uruguay's defence (74), so the model makes them 73% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. I Group I predictions
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1 
France 3+69
France 3+69 2 
Norway 3+16
Norway 3+16 3 
Senegal 3-23
Senegal 3-23 4 
Iraq 3-50
Iraq 3-50 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 16 France 3–1 Senegal 78/12/9% France's attack (rated 98) is in a different class to Senegal's defence (72), so the model makes them 78% favourites, with goals likely at both ends. Projected 3–1. Jun 16 Iraq 1–2 Norway 16/19/65% Norway's attack (rated 89) has a clear edge over Iraq's defence (73), so the model makes them 65% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 22 France 3–0 Iraq 86/10/4% France's attack (rated 98) is in a different class to Iraq's defence (73), so the model makes them 86% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 23 Norway 2–1 Senegal 49/20/31% Norway's attack (rated 89) has a clear edge over Senegal's defence (72), so the model makes them 49% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 26 Norway 1–2 France 13/15/72% France's attack (rated 98) is in a different class to Norway's defence (73), so the model makes them 72% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 26 Senegal 2–1 Iraq 56/22/21% Senegal's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Iraq's defence (73), so the model makes them 56% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1.
France 3–1 Senegal 78/12/9% France's attack (rated 98) is in a different class to Senegal's defence (72), so the model makes them 78% favourites, with goals likely at both ends. Projected 3–1. Jun 16 Iraq 1–2 Norway 16/19/65% Norway's attack (rated 89) has a clear edge over Iraq's defence (73), so the model makes them 65% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 22 France 3–0 Iraq 86/10/4% France's attack (rated 98) is in a different class to Iraq's defence (73), so the model makes them 86% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 23 Norway 2–1 Senegal 49/20/31% Norway's attack (rated 89) has a clear edge over Senegal's defence (72), so the model makes them 49% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 26 Norway 1–2 France 13/15/72% France's attack (rated 98) is in a different class to Norway's defence (73), so the model makes them 72% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 26 Senegal 2–1 Iraq 56/22/21% Senegal's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Iraq's defence (73), so the model makes them 56% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. J Group J predictions
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1 
Argentina 3+89
Argentina 3+89 2 
Austria 3+16
Austria 3+16 3 
Algeria 3-33
Algeria 3-33 4 
Jordan 3-60
Jordan 3-60 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 17 Argentina 3–0 Algeria 86/8/4% Argentina's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Algeria's defence (70), so the model makes them 86% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 17 Austria 2–0 Jordan 80/12/8% Austria's attack (rated 83) has a clear edge over Jordan's defence (66), so the model makes them 80% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 22 Argentina 2–0 Austria 79/13/8% Argentina's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Austria's defence (75), so the model makes them 79% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 23 Jordan 1–2 Algeria 13/15/71% Algeria's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Jordan's defence (66), so the model makes them 71% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 28 Algeria 1–2 Austria 26/21/53% Austria's attack (rated 83) has a clear edge over Algeria's defence (70), so the model makes them 53% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 28 Jordan 0–3 Argentina 2/6/90% Argentina's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Jordan's defence (66), so the model makes them 90% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–3.
Argentina 3–0 Algeria 86/8/4% Argentina's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Algeria's defence (70), so the model makes them 86% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 17 Austria 2–0 Jordan 80/12/8% Austria's attack (rated 83) has a clear edge over Jordan's defence (66), so the model makes them 80% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 22 Argentina 2–0 Austria 79/13/8% Argentina's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Austria's defence (75), so the model makes them 79% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 23 Jordan 1–2 Algeria 13/15/71% Algeria's attack (rated 82) has a clear edge over Jordan's defence (66), so the model makes them 71% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 28 Algeria 1–2 Austria 26/21/53% Austria's attack (rated 83) has a clear edge over Algeria's defence (70), so the model makes them 53% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 28 Jordan 0–3 Argentina 2/6/90% Argentina's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Jordan's defence (66), so the model makes them 90% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–3. K Group K predictions
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1 
Portugal 3+89
Portugal 3+89 2 
Colombia 3+26
Colombia 3+26 3 
Uzbekistan 3-43
Uzbekistan 3-43 4 
DR Congo 3-60
DR Congo 3-60 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 17 Portugal 3–0 DR Congo 90/6/2% Portugal's attack (rated 99) is in a different class to DR Congo's defence (69), so the model makes them 90% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 18 Uzbekistan 0–2 Colombia 15/19/66% Colombia's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Uzbekistan's defence (70), so the model makes them 66% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2. Jun 23 Portugal 3–0 Uzbekistan 88/7/3% Portugal's attack (rated 99) is in a different class to Uzbekistan's defence (70), so the model makes them 88% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 24 Colombia 2–0 DR Congo 75/16/9% Colombia's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over DR Congo's defence (69), so the model makes them 75% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 27 Colombia 0–2 Portugal 13/17/70% Portugal's attack (rated 99) has a clear edge over Colombia's defence (77), so the model makes them 70% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2. Jun 27 DR Congo 0–1 Uzbekistan 27/24/48% Uzbekistan's attack (rated 77) narrowly outguns DR Congo's defence (69), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1.
Portugal 3–0 DR Congo 90/6/2% Portugal's attack (rated 99) is in a different class to DR Congo's defence (69), so the model makes them 90% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 18 Uzbekistan 0–2 Colombia 15/19/66% Colombia's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Uzbekistan's defence (70), so the model makes them 66% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2. Jun 23 Portugal 3–0 Uzbekistan 88/7/3% Portugal's attack (rated 99) is in a different class to Uzbekistan's defence (70), so the model makes them 88% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 24 Colombia 2–0 DR Congo 75/16/9% Colombia's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over DR Congo's defence (69), so the model makes them 75% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0. Jun 27 Colombia 0–2 Portugal 13/17/70% Portugal's attack (rated 99) has a clear edge over Colombia's defence (77), so the model makes them 70% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2. Jun 27 DR Congo 0–1 Uzbekistan 27/24/48% Uzbekistan's attack (rated 77) narrowly outguns DR Congo's defence (69), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. L Group L predictions
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1 
England 3+69
England 3+69 2 
Croatia 3+16
Croatia 3+16 3 
Panama 3-23
Panama 3-23 4 
Ghana 3-50
Ghana 3-50 Top 2 advance · 3rd may qualify as a best third
Jun 17 England 2–1 Croatia 69/16/15% England's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Croatia's defence (75), so the model makes them 69% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 17 Ghana 0–1 Panama 24/25/51% Panama's attack (rated 81) has a clear edge over Ghana's defence (72), so the model makes them 51% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 23 England 3–0 Ghana 86/9/4% England's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Ghana's defence (72), so the model makes them 86% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 23 Panama 1–2 Croatia 28/23/48% Croatia's attack (rated 89) has a clear edge over Panama's defence (76), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 27 Panama 0–2 England 10/15/75% England's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Panama's defence (76), so the model makes them 75% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2. Jun 27 Croatia 2–1 Ghana 65/19/17% Croatia's attack (rated 89) has a clear edge over Ghana's defence (72), so the model makes them 65% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1.
England 2–1 Croatia 69/16/15% England's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Croatia's defence (75), so the model makes them 69% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. Jun 17 Ghana 0–1 Panama 24/25/51% Panama's attack (rated 81) has a clear edge over Ghana's defence (72), so the model makes them 51% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1. Jun 23 England 3–0 Ghana 86/9/4% England's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Ghana's defence (72), so the model makes them 86% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 3–0. Jun 23 Panama 1–2 Croatia 28/23/48% Croatia's attack (rated 89) has a clear edge over Panama's defence (76), so the model makes them 48% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2. Jun 27 Panama 0–2 England 10/15/75% England's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Panama's defence (76), so the model makes them 75% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2. Jun 27 Croatia 2–1 Ghana 65/19/17% Croatia's attack (rated 89) has a clear edge over Ghana's defence (72), so the model makes them 65% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1. How it works: every squad is scored for attack and defence from its players — strength ratings, 2025/26 club goals and assists, international goals, goalkeeping and clean sheets — blended with FIFA-ranking pedigree. The model pits each team’s attack against the other’s defence for an expected-goals figure, takes the most-likely scoreline and win/draw/loss probabilities from a Poisson distribution, then simulates the group tables and the entire knockout bracket to a champion. It’s a model, not a crystal ball — upsets are the best part of the World Cup.