WC26 Matchday
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AUS
Australia
Tony Popovic · FIFA #27 · 76 rating
Best · Round of 16
Group Stage
AI prediction 0 1
BC Place · Vancouver · 54k
2026-06-14
TUR
Türkiye
Vincenzo Montella · FIFA #22 · 78 rating
Best · Third place

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3

AustraliaTürkiye
Australia 01 Türkiye
Expected goals 0.81.5 · projected scoreline

Türkiye's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Australia's defence (76), so the model makes them 54% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1.

20%
26%
54%
Australia win Draw Türkiye win
Türkiye favoured · even matchup. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.