Ecuador vs Curaçao Prediction: 1–0

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Ecuador

Sebastián Beccacece · FIFA #23 · 77 rating

Best · Round of 16

Group Stage

AI prediction 1 – 0

—

Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City · 68k

2026-06-20

Curaçao

Dick Advocaat · FIFA #82 · 70 rating

★ World Cup debut

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3

EcuadorCuraçao

Ecuador 1–0 Curaçao

Expected goals 1.9 – 0.8 · projected scoreline

Ecuador's attack (rated 80) has a clear edge over Curaçao's defence (70), so the model makes them 62% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0.

62%

22%

16%

Ecuador win Draw Curaçao win

Ecuador favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.