WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
← Schedule
ENG
England
Thomas Tuchel · FIFA #4 · 87 rating
★ 1× World Champion
Group Stage
AI prediction 2 – 1
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AT&T Stadium · Dallas · 70k
2026-06-17
CRO
Croatia
Zlatko Dalic · FIFA #11 · 81 rating
Best · Runners-up

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3

EnglandCroatia
England 2–1 Croatia
Expected goals 2.8 – 1.3 · projected scoreline

England's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Croatia's defence (75), so the model makes them 69% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1.

69%
16%
15%
England win Draw Croatia win
England favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.