WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
← Schedule
MEX
Mexico
Javier Aguirre · FIFA #15 · 80 rating
Best · Quarter-finals
Group Stage
AI prediction 2 – 1
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Estadio Akron · Guadalajara · 44k · ◆ 1.6km
2026-06-18
KOR
South Korea
Hong Myung-bo · FIFA #25 · 77 rating
Best · Fourth place

Projected XIs 3-4-3 vs 4-2-3-1

MexicoSouth Korea
Mexico 2–1 South Korea
Expected goals 1.6 – 1.4 · projected scoreline

Mexico's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Korea's defence (75), so the model makes them 44% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1.

44%
24%
32%
Mexico win Draw South Korea win
Mexico favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.