WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
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FRA
France
Didier Deschamps · FIFA #3 · 89 rating
★ 2× World Champions
Group Stage
AI prediction 3 – 1
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MetLife Stadium · New York/New Jersey · 83k
2026-06-16
SEN
Senegal
Pape Thiaw · FIFA #20 · 78 rating
Best · Quarter-finals

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 3-4-3

FranceSenegal
France 3–1 Senegal
Expected goals 3.2 – 1 · projected scoreline

France's attack (rated 98) is in a different class to Senegal's defence (72), so the model makes them 78% favourites, with goals likely at both ends. Projected 3–1.

78%
12%
9%
France win Draw Senegal win
France favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.