WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
← Schedule
NED
Netherlands
Ronald Koeman · FIFA #7 · 84 rating
Best · Runners-up
Group Stage
AI prediction 1 – 0
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NRG Stadium · Houston · 68k
2026-06-20
SWE
Sweden
Graham Potter · FIFA #42 · 74 rating
Best · Runners-up

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1

NetherlandsSweden
Netherlands 1–0 Sweden
Expected goals 1.5 – 0.8 · projected scoreline

Netherlands's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Sweden's defence (76), so the model makes them 53% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0.

53%
26%
21%
Netherlands win Draw Sweden win
Netherlands favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.