Senegal vs Iraq Prediction: 2–1

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Senegal

Pape Thiaw · FIFA #20 · 78 rating

Best · Quarter-finals

Group Stage

AI prediction 2 – 1

—

BMO Field · Toronto · 45k

2026-06-26

Iraq

Graham Arnold · FIFA #57 · 72 rating

Best · Group stage

Projected XIs 3-4-3 vs 4-3-3

SenegalIraq

Senegal 2–1 Iraq

Expected goals 1.9 – 1.1 · projected scoreline

Senegal's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Iraq's defence (73), so the model makes them 56% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1.

56%

22%

21%

Senegal win Draw Iraq win

Senegal favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.