WC26 Matchday
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ECU
Ecuador
Sebastián Beccacece · FIFA #23 · 77 rating
Best · Round of 16
Group Stage
AI prediction 0 2
MetLife Stadium · New York/New Jersey · 83k
2026-06-25
GER
Germany
Julian Nagelsmann · FIFA #10 · 82 rating
★ 4× World Champions

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 3-4-3

EcuadorGermany
Ecuador 02 Germany
Expected goals 0.92.2 · projected scoreline

Germany's attack (rated 93) has a clear edge over Ecuador's defence (75), so the model makes them 68% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 0–2.

13%
18%
68%
Ecuador win Draw Germany win
Germany favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.