WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
← Schedule
URU
Uruguay
Marcelo Bielsa · FIFA #17 · 79 rating
★ 2× World Champions
Group Stage
AI prediction 1 – 2
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Estadio Akron · Guadalajara · 44k · ◆ 1.6km
2026-06-26
ESP
Spain
Luis de la Fuente · FIFA #2 · 91 rating
★ 1× World Champion

Projected XIs 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3

UruguaySpain
Uruguay 1–2 Spain
Expected goals 1 – 2.7 · projected scoreline

Spain's attack (rated 96) has a clear edge over Uruguay's defence (74), so the model makes them 73% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2.

12%
15%
73%
Uruguay win Draw Spain win
Spain favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.