WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
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NZL
New Zealand
Darren Bazeley · FIFA #85 · 70 rating
Best · Group stage
Group Stage
AI prediction 0 – 1
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BC Place · Vancouver · 54k
2026-06-26
BEL
Belgium
Rudi Garcia · FIFA #9 · 83 rating
Best · Third place

Projected XIs 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3

New ZealandBelgium
New Zealand 0–1 Belgium
Expected goals 0.7 – 1.7 · projected scoreline

Belgium's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over New Zealand's defence (74), so the model makes them 60% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1.

16%
24%
60%
New Zealand win Draw Belgium win
Belgium favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.