WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
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TUN
Tunisia
Sabri Lamouchi · FIFA #44 · 74 rating
Best · Group stage
Group Stage
AI prediction 0 – 1
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Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City · 68k
2026-06-25
NED
Netherlands
Ronald Koeman · FIFA #7 · 84 rating
Best · Runners-up

Projected XIs 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3

TunisiaNetherlands
Tunisia 0–1 Netherlands
Expected goals 0.6 – 1.6 · projected scoreline

Netherlands's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Tunisia's defence (75), so the model makes them 63% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1.

13%
24%
63%
Tunisia win Draw Netherlands win
Netherlands favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.