WC26 Matchday
—
ENESPTFRDEIT
← Schedule
USA
USA
Mauricio Pochettino · FIFA #16 · 79 rating
Best · Third place
Group Stage
AI prediction 1 – 0
—
Lumen Field · Seattle · 69k
2026-06-19
AUS
Australia
Tony Popovic · FIFA #27 · 76 rating
Best · Round of 16

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3

USAAustralia
USA 1–0 Australia
Expected goals 1.8 – 0.8 · projected scoreline

USA's attack (rated 88) has a clear edge over Australia's defence (76), so the model makes them 61% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0.

61%
23%
17%
USA win Draw Australia win
USA favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.