Norway vs Senegal Prediction: 2–1

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Norway

Ståle Solbakken · FIFA #31 · 76 rating

Best · Round of 16

Group Stage

AI prediction 2 – 1

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MetLife Stadium · New York/New Jersey · 83k

2026-06-22

Senegal

Pape Thiaw · FIFA #20 · 78 rating

Best · Quarter-finals

Projected XIs 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3

NorwaySenegal

Norway 2–1 Senegal

Expected goals 2.3 – 1.8 · projected scoreline

Norway's attack (rated 89) has a clear edge over Senegal's defence (72), so the model makes them 49% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–1.

49%

20%

31%

Norway win Draw Senegal win

Norway favoured · even matchup. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.