Netherlands vs Japan Prediction: 1–0

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Netherlands

Ronald Koeman · FIFA #7 · 84 rating

Best · Runners-up

Group Stage

AI prediction 1 – 0

—

AT&T Stadium · Dallas · 70k

2026-06-14

Japan

Hajime Moriyasu · FIFA #18 · 79 rating

Best · Round of 16

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3

NetherlandsJapan

Netherlands 1–0 Japan

Expected goals 1.5 – 1 · projected scoreline

Netherlands's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Japan's defence (76), so the model makes them 49% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0.

49%

26%

25%

Netherlands win Draw Japan win

Netherlands favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.