WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
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JPN
Japan
Hajime Moriyasu · FIFA #18 · 79 rating
Best · Round of 16
Group Stage
AI prediction 1 – 1
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AT&T Stadium · Dallas · 70k
2026-06-25
SWE
Sweden
Graham Potter · FIFA #42 · 74 rating
Best · Runners-up

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1

JapanSweden
Japan 1–1 Sweden
Expected goals 1.4 – 1.2 · projected scoreline

Japan's attack (rated 83) narrowly outguns Sweden's defence (76), so the model makes them 41% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1.

41%
26%
32%
Japan win Draw Sweden win
Japan favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.