Mexico vs South Africa Prediction: 1–0

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Mexico

Javier Aguirre · FIFA #15 · 80 rating

Best · Quarter-finals

Group Stage

AI prediction 1 – 0

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Estadio Azteca · Mexico City · 83k · ◆ 2.2km

2026-06-11

South Africa

Hugo Broos · FIFA #60 · 72 rating

Best · Group stage

Projected XIs 3-4-3 vs 4-3-3

MexicoSouth Africa

Mexico 1–0 South Africa

Expected goals 1.7 – 0.8 · projected scoreline

Mexico's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over South Africa's defence (75), so the model makes them 58% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0.

58%

24%

18%

Mexico win Draw South Africa win

Mexico favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.