WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
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GER
Germany
Julian Nagelsmann · FIFA #10 · 82 rating
★ 4× World Champions
Round of 32
Full-time 1 – 1 Paraguay won 4–3 on penalties AI predicted 2–0 ✗
NRG Stadium · Houston · 68k
2026-06-29
PAR
Paraguay
Gustavo Alfaro · FIFA #40 · 74 rating
Best · Quarter-finals

Projected XIs 3-4-3 vs 4-3-3

GermanyParaguay
Germany 2–0 Paraguay
Expected goals 2.5 – 0.6 · projected scoreline

Germany's attack (rated 93) has a clear edge over Paraguay's defence (73), so the model makes them 78% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 2–0.

78%
14%
7%
Germany win Draw Paraguay win
Germany favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.