WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
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BEL
Belgium
Rudi Garcia · FIFA #9 · 83 rating
Best · Third place
Round of 32
Full-time 3 – 2 after extra time AI predicted 1–0 ✓
Levi's Stadium · San Francisco Bay Area · 71k
2026-07-01
SEN
Senegal
Pape Thiaw · FIFA #20 · 78 rating
Best · Quarter-finals

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 3-4-3

BelgiumSenegal
Belgium 1–0 Senegal
Expected goals 1.9 – 1 · projected scoreline

Belgium's attack (rated 85) has a clear edge over Senegal's defence (72), so the model makes them 58% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0.

58%
22%
20%
Belgium win Draw Senegal win
Belgium favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.