WC26 Matchday
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AUS
Australia
Tony Popovic · FIFA #27 · 76 rating
Best · Round of 16
Round of 32
Full-time 1 1 Egypt won 4–2 on penalties AI predicted 1–1 ✓
Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City · 68k
2026-07-03
EGY
Egypt
Hossam Hassan · FIFA #29 · 76 rating
Best · Group stage

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3

AustraliaEgypt
Australia 11 Egypt
Expected goals 1.21.4 · projected scoreline

Egypt's attack (rated 83) narrowly outguns Australia's defence (76), so the model makes them 42% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1.

31%
26%
42%
Australia win Draw Egypt win
Egypt favoured · even matchup. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.