WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
← Schedule
MEX
Mexico
Javier Aguirre · FIFA #15 · 80 rating
Best · Quarter-finals
Round of 16
Full-time 2 – 3 AI predicted 1–2 ✓
Estadio Azteca · Mexico City · 83k · ◆ 2.2km
2026-07-05
ENG
England
Thomas Tuchel · FIFA #4 · 87 rating
★ 1× World Champion

Projected XIs 3-4-3 vs 4-3-3

MexicoEngland
Mexico 1–2 England
Expected goals 1.2 – 2.4 · projected scoreline

England's attack (rated 100) is in a different class to Mexico's defence (77), so the model makes them 65% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–2.

17%
18%
65%
Mexico win Draw England win
England favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.