WC26 Matchday
← Schedule
POR
Portugal
Roberto Martínez · FIFA #5 · 86 rating
Best · Third place
Round of 16
Full-time 0 1 AI predicted 1–1 ✗
AT&T Stadium · Dallas · 70k
2026-07-06
ESP
Spain
Luis de la Fuente · FIFA #2 · 91 rating
★ 1× World Champion

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3

PortugalSpain
Portugal 11 Spain
Expected goals 1.51.4 · projected scoreline

Portugal's attack (rated 99) has a clear edge over Spain's defence (86), so the model makes them 39% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1.

39%
25%
36%
Portugal win Draw Spain win
Portugal favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.