WC26 Matchday
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USA
USA
Mauricio Pochettino · FIFA #16 · 79 rating
Best · Third place
Round of 16
Full-time 1 4 AI predicted 1–1 ✗
Lumen Field · Seattle · 69k
2026-07-06
BEL
Belgium
Rudi Garcia · FIFA #9 · 83 rating
Best · Third place

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3

USABelgium
USA 11 Belgium
Expected goals 1.21.4 · projected scoreline

Belgium's attack (rated 85) narrowly outguns USA's defence (77), so the model makes them 42% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1.

31%
27%
42%
USA win Draw Belgium win
Belgium favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.