← Schedule
USA
Mauricio Pochettino · FIFA #16 · 79 rating
Best · Third place
Round of 16
Full-time 1 – 4 AI predicted 1–1 ✗
Lumen Field · Seattle · 69k
2026-07-06
Belgium
Rudi Garcia · FIFA #9 · 83 rating
Best · Third place
Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
USABelgium
USA 1–1 Belgium
Expected goals 1.2 – 1.4 · projected scoreline
Belgium's attack (rated 85) narrowly outguns USA's defence (77), so the model makes them 42% favourites, in a game that should stay competitive. Projected 1–1.
USA win Draw Belgium win
Belgium favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.
USABelgium
88Attack rating85
77Defence rating83
#16FIFA ranking#9
€40MSquad value€548M
946Total caps1,073
125Intl goals214
26.4Avg age27.2
Best-rated player in each squad.