← Schedule 
Mexico
Javier Aguirre · FIFA #15 · 80 rating
Best · Quarter-finals
Round of 32
Full-time 2 – 0 AI predicted 1–0 ✓
Estadio Azteca · Mexico City · 83k · ◆ 2.2km
2026-06-30
Ecuador
Sebastián Beccacece · FIFA #23 · 77 rating
Best · Round of 16
Projected XIs 3-4-3 vs 4-3-3
MexicoEcuador
Mexico 1–0 Ecuador
Expected goals 1.7 – 1.1 · projected scoreline
Mexico's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over Ecuador's defence (75), so the model makes them 52% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 1–0.
Mexico win Draw Ecuador win
Mexico favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.
MexicoEcuador
86Attack rating80
77Defence rating75
#15FIFA ranking#23
€23MSquad value€220M
1,215Total caps750
117Intl goals92
27.5Avg age25.6
Best-rated player in each squad.