WC26 Matchday
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ENESPTFRDEIT
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CAN
Canada
Jesse Marsch · FIFA #30 · 76 rating
Best · Group stage
Round of 16
Full-time 0 – 1 AI predicted 0–1 ✓
NRG Stadium · Houston · 68k
2026-07-04
MAR
Morocco
Mohamed Ouahbi · FIFA #8 · 83 rating
Best · Fourth place

Projected XIs 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1

CanadaMorocco
Canada 0–1 Morocco
Expected goals 1 – 1.8 · projected scoreline

Morocco's attack (rated 86) has a clear edge over Canada's defence (74), so the model makes them 57% favourites, in what shapes up as a cagey, low-scoring tie. Projected 0–1.

20%
23%
57%
Canada win Draw Morocco win
Morocco favoured · clear rating edge. AI model — each attack vs the other’s defence (squad ratings, club & international goals, assists, goalkeeping), Poisson scoreline.